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Red55
285419.3
66821.9
415918.0
Blue162
570027.5
167860.4
25463.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45165010015020025030055162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#61
21.90.4
21.421.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End4.0
blue by 41.8
254
#2
63.71.3
61.062.3
Auto14.4
Teleop41.4
End7.9
Second
2854
#51
19.30.4
20.420.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.8
End1.5
blue by 41.1
60.41.3
59.861.1
Auto16.0
Teleop37.2
End7.3
Third
4159
#59
18.00.4
19.619.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 9.5
27.52.1
22.224.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned