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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Ventura Regional
Red133
153836.8
351231.2
450126.2
Blue105
186828.2
583933.0
157226.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12196050150200133105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#12
36.80.2
38.6→38.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
red by 3.8
5839
#9
33.00.0
33.3→33.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.9
End8.5
Second
3512
#3
31.20.2
33.0→33.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
red by 2.9
1868
#10
28.20.0
28.5→28.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Third
4501
#20
26.20.2
27.5→27.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End5.0
red by 0.2
1572
#22
26.00.0
26.3→26.3
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End5.6