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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Ventura Regional
Red37
153836.8
351231.2
450126.2
Blue87
186828.2
583933.0
157226.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12296501502003787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#12
36.81.4
38.8→37.4
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
red by 3.8
5839
#9
33.00.6
33.3→32.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.9
End8.5
Second
3512
#3
31.21.4
33.2→31.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
red by 2.9
1868
#10
28.20.6
28.5→27.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Third
4501
#20
26.21.4
27.7→26.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End5.0
red by 0.2
1572
#22
26.00.6
26.3→25.7
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End5.6