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Qual 12016 Ventura Regional
Red75
126627.5
242916.8
330939.2
Blue86
552221.4
606026.6
69636.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826220401001207586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#7
39.20.7
35.1→34.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.3
End5.6
red by 3.0
696
#6
36.31.2
31.0→32.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End8.7
Second
1266
#15
27.50.6
23.1→22.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
red by 0.8
6060
#13
26.69.6
26.6→17.0
Auto9.8
Teleop12.1
End4.8
Third
2429
#40
16.80.8
18.7→17.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 4.5
5522
#34
21.41.4
17.0→18.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed