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Red68
186828.2
545218.9
431.6
Blue27
58018.4
312013.6
70217.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625002040801001206827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#11
31.60.9
23.624.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.0
End8.3
red by 13.2
580
#26
18.42.6
15.613.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Second
1868
#10
28.21.1
20.621.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 11.0
702
#25
17.32.3
17.515.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Third
5452
#33
18.91.1
14.215.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 5.2
3120
#39
13.62.6
17.314.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed