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Qual 162016 Ventura Regional
Red94
186828.2
20742.2
302714.3
Blue79
392524.1
242916.8
386328.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64634050607080909479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#5
42.22.7
26.4→29.1
Auto6.6
Teleop24.3
End11.3
red by 14.2
3863
#21
28.00.9
23.5→24.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End8.5
Second
1868
#10
28.23.6
19.7→23.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 4.1
3925
#30
24.10.9
21.8→22.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.1
End4.2
Third
3027
#35
14.33.6
15.2→18.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 2.5
2429
#40
16.81.3
17.2→18.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed