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Red40
233922.5
584911.9
552221.4
Blue62
312013.6
157226.0
151523.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51700204060801001204062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#42
22.50.9
23.722.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End4.1
blue by 3.6
1572
#22
26.00.2
26.226.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Second
5522
#34
21.41.4
19.217.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.9
blue by 1.8
1515
#18
23.20.3
23.423.1
Auto8.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
Third
5849
#41
11.91.4
9.37.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 1.8
3120
#39
13.60.3
15.415.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed