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Red75
240415.4
431.6
126627.5
Blue94
69636.3
59923.9
351231.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638120401001207594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#11
31.60.9
26.027.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.0
End8.3
blue by 4.7
696
#6
36.31.5
31.833.3
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End8.7
Second
1266
#15
27.50.8
24.425.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
blue by 3.7
31.21.5
20.021.4
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
Third
2404
#38
15.41.3
13.114.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End0.1
blue by 8.5
599
#32
23.91.5
24.325.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned