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Red71
126627.5
450126.2
302714.3
Blue97
97347.4
496419.1
157226.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769540601201407197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1266
#15
27.50.4
28.127.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
blue by 19.9
973
#2
47.40.2
43.543.7
Auto14.0
Teleop28.2
End5.2
Second
4501
#20
26.20.4
28.728.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End5.0
red by 0.2
1572
#22
26.00.2
26.326.4
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Third
3027
#35
14.30.7
20.319.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 4.8
4964
#29
19.10.2
19.820.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed