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Red71
332822.0
33056.9
70217.3
Blue66
69636.3
584911.9
153836.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100862040601201401607166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#1
56.91.6
54.352.7
Auto14.3
Teleop35.8
End6.7
red by 20.1
1538
#12
36.82.2
41.239.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
Second
3328
#16
22.01.6
24.222.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End4.0
blue by 14.3
696
#6
36.31.3
34.533.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End8.7
Third
702
#25
17.31.6
16.815.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
red by 5.4
5849
#41
11.92.2
10.07.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed