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Red112
97347.4
450126.2
330939.2
Blue70
116027.4
399315.6
98027.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123585010015011270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#2
47.40.1
43.743.8
Auto14.0
Teleop28.2
End5.2
red by 19.9
1160
#23
27.40.2
27.727.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.8
Second
39.20.1
38.238.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.3
End5.6
red by 12.0
980
#19
27.20.2
22.622.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End4.1
Third
4501
#20
26.20.1
28.328.4
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End5.0
red by 10.6
3993
#31
15.60.4
16.016.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed