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Qual 512016 Ventura Regional
Red75
351231.2
58018.4
448630.4
Blue62
312013.6
153836.8
552221.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787740506070901001101207562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#3
31.20.0
29.6→29.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
blue by 5.6
1538
#12
36.81.2
40.0→38.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
Second
4486
#8
30.40.0
28.3→28.3
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 9.0
5522
#34
21.41.3
20.7→19.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.9
Third
580
#26
18.40.1
17.8→17.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 4.7
3120
#39
13.61.3
14.2→12.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed