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Red78
552221.4
581828.2
138832.7
Blue87
157226.0
153836.8
240415.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657820401001201407887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#14
32.70.6
25.926.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.9
End3.7
blue by 4.1
1538
#12
36.81.4
37.238.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
Second
5818
#28
28.20.8
21.222.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End4.3
red by 2.2
1572
#22
26.01.1
25.126.2
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Third
5522
#34
21.40.8
18.319.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.9
red by 5.9
2404
#38
15.41.4
11.713.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed