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Red54
576522.1
58018.4
386328.0
Blue111
97347.4
332822.0
126627.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4598020608012014054111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#21
28.00.2
23.423.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End8.5
blue by 19.4
973
#2
47.41.8
42.744.5
Auto14.0
Teleop28.2
End5.2
Second
5765
#24
22.10.2
15.615.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End3.6
blue by 5.3
1266
#15
27.51.9
22.524.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Third
580
#26
18.40.2
13.013.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.0
blue by 3.6
3328
#16
22.01.9
22.023.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned