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Qual 122016 Chezy Champs
Red41
501228.7
567729.9
454327.0
Blue85
183631.0
580336.8
60421.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959550607080901001104185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5677
#30
29.93.3
27.3→24.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End4.6
blue by 6.9
5803
#5
36.80.7
37.9→37.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End11.1
Second
5012
#34
28.73.3
30.8→27.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 2.3
1836
#26
31.00.7
33.3→32.6
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Third
4543
#41
27.03.3
32.0→28.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
red by 5.5
604
#37
21.40.7
23.7→23.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed