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Red180
330946.6
582926.7
325060.4
Blue192
448851.3
97178.4
96838.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11815250100200250180192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#12
60.43.4
48.952.2
Auto18.2
Teleop32.0
End10.3
blue by 18.0
971
#1
78.43.3
66.369.6
Auto24.4
Teleop41.3
End12.7
Second
3309
#21
46.63.4
46.449.8
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
blue by 4.8
51.33.3
45.648.9
Auto11.9
Teleop33.5
End5.9
Third
5829
#25
26.73.4
24.127.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 11.9
968
#6
38.63.3
31.034.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed89%Capture oddsEarned