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Red71
84125.8
69633.3
135128.0
Blue37
11521.1
325629.2
186821.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83750501001502002507137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#29
33.30.6
33.833.2
Auto7.2
Teleop20.1
End5.9
red by 4.1
3256
#36
29.22.5
28.425.9
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Second
1351
#38
28.00.6
24.323.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End3.9
red by 6.5
1868
#39
21.62.5
26.624.1
Auto9.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Third
841
#27
25.80.6
21.220.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End2.6
red by 4.7
115
#28
21.12.5
19.116.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed