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Qual 262016 Chezy Champs
Red122
167875.9
69633.3
186821.6
Blue137
196728.8
325060.4
385941.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140104050200250122137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#2
75.90.6
70.7→70.2
Auto20.4
Teleop49.2
End6.3
red by 15.5
3250
#12
60.42.1
51.6→53.6
Auto18.2
Teleop32.0
End10.3
Second
696
#29
33.30.6
35.8→35.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.1
End5.9
blue by 8.3
3859
#8
41.52.1
31.1→33.2
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End3.6
Third
1868
#39
21.60.6
24.1→23.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
blue by 7.3
1967
#23
28.82.1
23.1→25.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed