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Qual 272016 Chezy Champs
Red156
11521.1
97178.4
580336.8
Blue85
97351.0
70127.2
581728.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351125010015020015685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
78.41.9
70.6→72.5
Auto24.4
Teleop41.3
End12.7
red by 27.4
973
#15
51.02.2
51.2→49.1
Auto14.3
Teleop27.5
End9.2
Second
5803
#5
36.81.9
38.9→40.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End11.1
red by 8.1
5817
#20
28.72.2
28.4→26.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Third
115
#28
21.11.9
18.1→20.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 6.0
701
#31
27.22.2
32.6→30.5
Auto3.9
Teleop21.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
55%Capture oddsEarned13%Capture oddsMissed