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Red57
60421.4
582926.7
501228.7
Blue114
76617.6
135128.0
167875.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111905010015020057114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#34
28.71.6
29.027.4
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 47.2
75.90.3
70.270.5
Auto20.4
Teleop49.2
End6.3
Second
5829
#25
26.71.6
24.122.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 1.3
1351
#38
28.00.3
22.322.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End3.9
Third
604
#37
21.41.6
23.021.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End3.4
red by 3.8
766
#33
17.60.3
16.516.8
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed