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Red115
96838.6
490431.7
213531.7
Blue109
69633.3
167141.6
11521.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909502004006008001,0001,200115109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#6
38.61.1
31.432.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End5.6
blue by 3.0
41.61.2
36.337.5
Auto13.3
Teleop23.1
End5.2
Second
2135
#16
31.71.1
28.629.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.2
End4.6
blue by 1.5
696
#29
33.31.2
35.336.4
Auto7.2
Teleop20.1
End5.9
Third
4904
#35
31.71.1
28.129.3
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End3.1
red by 10.6
115
#28
21.11.2
20.021.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned