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Qual 362016 Chezy Champs
Red27
501228.7
592428.3
186821.6
Blue200
167875.9
213531.7
97178.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6919805010015025030035027200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#34
28.73.9
27.4→23.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 49.7
971
#1
78.40.7
73.8→74.5
Auto24.4
Teleop41.3
End12.7
Second
5924
#19
28.33.9
33.4→29.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End4.0
blue by 47.6
1678
#2
75.90.7
70.5→71.2
Auto20.4
Teleop49.2
End6.3
Third
1868
#39
21.63.9
24.7→20.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
blue by 10.1
2135
#16
31.70.7
29.7→30.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsMissed99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed79%Capture oddsEarned