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Red146
330946.6
167141.6
84125.8
Blue82
70127.2
567729.9
69633.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218805010015020014682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#21
46.61.9
53.255.0
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
red by 13.3
696
#29
33.30.5
36.435.9
Auto7.2
Teleop20.1
End5.9
Second
41.61.9
37.539.3
Auto13.3
Teleop23.1
End5.2
red by 11.7
5677
#30
29.90.5
23.522.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End4.6
Third
841
#27
25.81.9
22.524.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End2.6
blue by 1.4
701
#31
27.20.5
30.229.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed