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Red75
60421.4
432.0
207339.5
Blue77
11521.1
84125.8
97351.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9098501502007577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#18
39.51.2
32.030.8
Auto4.4
Teleop31.4
End3.7
blue by 11.4
973
#15
51.01.2
51.750.6
Auto14.3
Teleop27.5
End9.2
Second
4
#10
32.01.2
31.630.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End7.2
red by 6.2
841
#27
25.81.2
22.321.2
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Third
604
#37
21.41.2
24.923.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End3.4
red by 0.3
115
#28
21.11.2
20.319.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed