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Red131
385941.5
39934.1
448851.3
Blue119
490431.7
97178.4
592428.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97143050200250131119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.32.0
43.645.6
Auto11.9
Teleop33.5
End5.9
blue by 27.0
971
#1
78.40.9
67.266.3
Auto24.4
Teleop41.3
End12.7
Second
41.52.0
25.127.1
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End3.6
red by 9.8
4904
#35
31.70.9
30.329.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End3.1
Third
399
#24
34.12.0
32.234.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End5.5
red by 5.8
5924
#19
28.30.9
34.833.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed60%Capture oddsMissed