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Red127
135128.0
213531.7
347651.2
Blue160
25466.3
448851.3
70127.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9916150150200250127160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#14
51.21.4
49.651.0
Auto11.3
Teleop32.3
End7.7
blue by 15.1
254
#3
66.30.8
70.471.2
Auto19.9
Teleop40.6
End5.8
Second
2135
#16
31.71.4
31.733.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.2
End4.6
blue by 19.6
51.30.8
50.050.8
Auto11.9
Teleop33.5
End5.9
Third
1351
#38
28.01.4
24.325.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End3.9
red by 0.9
701
#31
27.20.8
27.628.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed87%Capture oddsEarned