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Red112
60421.4
84634.6
39934.1
Blue100
330946.6
570029.6
549922.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511650100150200112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#11
34.61.3
30.231.5
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End4.2
blue by 12.0
3309
#21
46.60.9
53.052.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
Second
399
#24
34.11.3
34.535.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End5.5
red by 4.6
5700
#17
29.60.9
30.529.6
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
604
#37
21.41.3
22.323.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End3.4
blue by 0.6
5499
#40
22.00.9
24.523.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed