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Red89
490431.7
325629.2
97221.7
Blue107
186821.6
432.0
580336.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88885060708010011012089107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#35
31.70.4
30.230.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End3.1
blue by 5.1
36.81.3
39.040.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End11.1
Second
3256
#36
29.20.4
30.430.8
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End4.0
blue by 2.8
4
#10
32.01.3
30.431.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End7.2
Third
972
#22
21.70.4
22.622.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End0.8
red by 0.1
1868
#39
21.61.3
18.820.0
Auto9.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned