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Red99
97351.0
11435.8
501228.7
Blue85
581728.7
69633.3
592428.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119990501502009985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#15
51.01.2
52.651.4
Auto14.3
Teleop27.5
End9.2
red by 17.7
696
#29
33.30.9
37.336.4
Auto7.2
Teleop20.1
End5.9
Second
114
#7
35.81.2
35.434.2
Auto4.4
Teleop28.5
End2.9
red by 7.1
5817
#20
28.70.9
29.128.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Third
5012
#34
28.71.2
24.523.2
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
red by 0.4
5924
#19
28.30.9
32.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed