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Red95
581728.7
325629.2
385941.5
Blue47
213531.7
186821.6
60421.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104750501502009547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.1
37.837.7
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End3.6
red by 9.8
2135
#16
31.72.0
33.131.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.2
End4.6
Second
3256
#36
29.20.1
30.830.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End4.0
red by 7.6
1868
#39
21.62.0
20.018.0
Auto9.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Third
5817
#20
28.70.1
28.228.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
red by 7.2
604
#37
21.42.0
23.621.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed