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Qual 572016 Chezy Champs
Red64
76617.6
330946.6
69633.3
Blue111
592428.3
25466.3
580336.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031555020025064111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#21
46.62.9
52.1→49.2
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
blue by 19.7
254
#3
66.32.1
71.2→69.0
Auto19.9
Teleop40.6
End5.8
Second
696
#29
33.32.9
36.4→33.5
Auto7.2
Teleop20.1
End5.9
blue by 3.5
5803
#5
36.82.1
40.3→38.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End11.1
Third
766
#33
17.62.9
18.9→16.0
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End4.3
blue by 10.6
5924
#19
28.32.1
31.7→29.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsMissed99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed89%Capture oddsMissed