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Red130
454327.0
167875.9
490431.7
Blue102
183631.0
347651.2
570029.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911250100150200130102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.90.1
73.873.7
Auto20.4
Teleop49.2
End6.3
red by 24.6
3476
#14
51.21.0
51.049.9
Auto11.3
Teleop32.3
End7.7
Second
4904
#35
31.70.1
30.630.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End3.1
red by 0.7
1836
#26
31.01.0
32.131.1
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Third
4543
#41
27.00.1
27.026.9
Auto6.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
blue by 2.6
5700
#17
29.61.0
29.628.6
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed