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Red103
135128.0
11435.8
567729.9
Blue165
84634.6
97178.4
207339.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77161050100200250103165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#7
35.81.1
34.235.3
Auto4.4
Teleop28.5
End2.9
blue by 42.6
971
#1
78.41.4
76.978.3
Auto24.4
Teleop41.3
End12.7
Second
5677
#30
29.91.1
26.928.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End4.6
blue by 9.6
2073
#18
39.51.4
35.837.1
Auto4.4
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Third
1351
#38
28.01.1
25.826.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End3.9
blue by 6.5
846
#11
34.61.4
31.532.9
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsEarned