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Red100
325060.4
70127.2
549922.0
Blue122
97221.7
97351.0
582926.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119100406080140160180200100122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#12
60.40.8
60.659.7
Auto18.2
Teleop32.0
End10.3
red by 9.5
973
#15
51.01.1
51.452.5
Auto14.3
Teleop27.5
End9.2
Second
701
#31
27.20.8
28.427.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.2
End2.1
red by 0.4
5829
#25
26.71.1
25.526.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
5499
#40
22.00.8
23.722.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End2.4
red by 0.3
972
#22
21.71.1
22.924.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed