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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813350100200155112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.0
42.442.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 3.8
346
#27
38.80.3
39.138.8
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
Second
836
#8
36.80.0
36.636.6
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 2.3
422
#6
34.50.3
34.834.5
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Third
5804
#23
29.90.0
29.729.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 2.3
1262
#10
32.20.3
32.532.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1