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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14713980100120160180200220160147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.1
42.542.6
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 8.1
422
#6
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
836
#8
36.80.1
36.636.8
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 3.1
1137
#12
33.70.0
33.633.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End5.7
Third
5804
#23
29.90.1
29.729.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 2.3
1262
#10
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1