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Red143
83636.8
141842.6
580429.9
Blue134
162933.8
62331.9
236336.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491266080100140160180200220143134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.2
42.442.1
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 6.0
2363
#46
36.60.0
36.836.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Second
836
#8
36.80.2
36.636.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 3.0
1629
#41
33.80.0
34.034.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
5804
#23
29.90.2
29.729.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 2.0
623
#9
31.90.0
32.132.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3