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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100834060120140160102104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#41
33.80.1
34.834.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 0.7
422
#6
34.50.7
31.932.6
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
623
#9
31.90.1
30.430.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3
red by 0.3
3455
#38
31.60.7
28.228.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
5338
#48
31.30.1
29.930.0
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
red by 2.3
5841
#40
29.00.7
23.524.2
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed