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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110914060801001201401601808194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#46
36.61.6
37.636.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
red by 3.0
3872
#19
33.50.2
30.930.7
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End4.3
Second
1885
#43
31.31.6
32.330.8
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.3
blue by 1.2
2028
#37
32.50.2
31.931.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Third
2537
#54
30.61.6
34.332.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
red by 0.4
1413
#24
30.20.2
28.628.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed