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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829540601201401609299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#32
38.00.3
32.733.1
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End5.1
red by 1.2
836
#8
36.80.2
38.338.5
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Second
4638
#53
31.60.3
30.631.0
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End3.9
blue by 4.4
2377
#15
36.00.2
29.229.5
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
Third
5957
#36
22.40.3
18.418.8
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 2.6
3941
#20
24.90.2
23.223.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned