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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410350150100111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#30
32.51.6
32.934.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
blue by 2.9
5546
#18
35.31.0
36.537.5
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End12.5
Second
4456
#52
27.11.6
21.623.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.9
End3.2
blue by 5.3
2028
#37
32.51.0
31.832.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Third
1895
#49
26.11.6
21.623.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
blue by 4.8
2849
#47
30.91.0
27.928.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed