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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103810501502009884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#27
38.80.1
36.937.0
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
red by 6.5
1262
#10
32.20.1
31.031.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Second
34.80.1
29.229.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 4.9
5804
#23
29.90.1
28.628.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Third
623
#9
31.90.1
30.530.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3
red by 2.1
116
#35
29.80.1
22.522.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed