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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808820406010012014016010392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1137
#12
33.71.3
30.231.5
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End5.7
blue by 0.1
1629
#41
33.80.5
34.935.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
1389
#51
25.31.3
28.029.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
blue by 5.8
1111
#42
31.10.5
28.028.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Third
2912
#39
24.81.3
20.621.9
Auto9.8
Teleop10.4
End4.6
blue by 0.4
6194
#55
25.10.5
21.321.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed