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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081056080120140160122108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.9
43.544.3
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 6.0
2363
#46
36.60.1
36.136.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Second
1731
#17
38.90.9
36.537.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
red by 2.4
5279
#14
36.50.1
37.637.7
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
Third
2421
#57
25.90.9
24.125.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End4.5
blue by 1.1
1719
#56
27.00.1
28.428.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned