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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839140601001201401608376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
34.50.1
32.632.7
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
red by 1.4
1610
#44
33.21.1
31.330.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Second
4286
#21
29.70.1
26.526.5
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 1.9
3455
#38
31.61.1
28.927.8
Auto8.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
540
#16
25.10.1
22.923.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End4.4
red by 1.7
5587
#58
23.41.1
27.226.1
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed