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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867402040601001201401609083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.2
37.537.7
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End5.4
red by 9.2
4505
#13
31.80.6
25.125.7
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Second
449
#33
26.80.2
25.425.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
blue by 4.5
1885
#43
31.30.6
30.831.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.3
Third
5957
#36
22.40.2
18.819.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 6.0
384
#28
28.40.6
17.818.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned