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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911034060801201401608876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#2
32.90.1
31.131.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
blue by 3.9
836
#8
36.81.5
38.537.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Second
32.10.1
30.530.3
Auto11.0
Teleop16.0
End5.0
blue by 0.3
4945
#26
32.31.5
34.833.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Third
1413
#24
30.20.1
28.528.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 7.5
977
#50
22.71.5
25.123.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed