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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10589406080120140160180138105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
38.92.2
37.739.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
red by 0.2
346
#27
38.80.8
37.738.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
Second
1610
#44
33.22.2
33.335.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.8
End5.0
red by 6.3
449
#33
26.80.8
27.027.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
Third
1413
#24
30.22.2
28.730.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 4.3
2421
#57
25.90.8
23.824.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed