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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888970801001101206690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#2
32.91.4
33.632.2
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
red by 0.9
2068
#22
32.00.0
33.033.0
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Second
1719
#56
27.01.4
27.426.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
blue by 2.0
5841
#40
29.00.0
26.926.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
Third
3941
#20
24.91.4
25.624.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
blue by 1.2
1895
#49
26.10.0
25.525.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed