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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110974060801201401601808595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#11
40.01.3
40.739.4
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 3.5
5279
#14
36.50.1
38.438.3
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
Second
1599
#30
32.51.3
34.132.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 0.1
4945
#26
32.30.1
32.732.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Third
5804
#23
29.91.3
30.128.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
red by 4.8
6194
#55
25.10.1
25.325.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed